Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts

Monday, 8 June 2015

Mexican Elections 3: early morning after



My earlier blog entries given the label 'Elections' are here.

This was what we found when we went to see how a polling place was conducted in Guanajuato, Guanajuato.


I have not see numbers for voter turn-out yesterday, but they are lower for these mid-term elections.


I am suddenly reminded noting how close the numbers are between the USA and Mexico of my worst-ever job, drafting replies for the Australian Foreign Minister to angry letters about the Viet Nam war. They found another job for me in six weeks. Meanwhile in defending the way South Viet Nam had conducted a national election, I had included in a draft letter reference to the fact that there had been a higher turnout in Viet Nam than in the US. This caused various degrees of perturbation among more senior persons, from gosh you can't say that to but the ones in the US are real. 

These are, let me hasten to add, real elections in Mexico, though the process has been coloured, shaped, built around patterns of patronage and benefit expectation by seventy years of returning one party to government until 2000 and return of that party to office in 2012. Voters and the party machines are involved in reward systems that are not airy-fairy.





The newish US-based sortaforusmodernguys news service Vice ran a column the other day which ms Google translated into English thus:


Every six years, Mexico orate with campaigns for president gets. All conversations are directed to the subject like flies flying over a steak. Families fight, couples split (or born new partners, as appropriate), the livers are destroyed and pets lose some attention from their owners. In that vote, comes the person you have to see his face every day for seventy-two months or two thousand one hundred and ninety days (not counting leap years), until we can not anymore.Right in the middle of this journey happen midterm elections, which are like the younger sister of the presidential election. Perhaps you've noticed that next Sunday will happen one of these. If you do not, I envy you to death.......If you are one of those who say that politics are bored, I do not blame you. Even the cockroaches are bored with politicians.But there's a reason why they should be interested at all cost us a shitload of money, including you. According to various estimates , the little joke of the election of 2015 cost more than thirty billion pesos. More or less the same budget that has the UNAMI do not know, but considering that we put all that money, I think we could, if only for curiosity, to see what happens with the whole issue around the vote. So here are the main points that all (or) Mexican (or) should know about it, but I did not.  [read on here]
The government web site is not helping me (perhaps my poor navigation in Spanish) with results information, though last night the elections chief said he expected results by 10.30pm.

El Pais is giving the elections to the government (PRI and allies). The margin is narrow. This is the BBC with similar angle but showing the numbers could fall either way over the line.

There is much media focus on troubles in the States of Guerrero in the west and Oaxaca in the south.

In Guerrero for some years the intervention in gang control of local affairs by the central government has lead to major misery and disorder, lawlessness, vigilantes... and sad lives. Focused around The 43, the sad cry of brave parents is essentially "we don't want your damn elections, we want our children back." This is interpreted in much international media just as violence.

In Oaxaca there is long-term dissidence around minority ethnic issues with the question of education reform, with months of sit-ins in the city square (Zocalo) and now disruption and burnings around the election. Here's some background from a US union associated newspaper. Here's a current story from Vice.

Meanwhile media are playing in worrying terms for the national government that the state of Nuevo Leon, second strongest state in the country, 7.5% of GDP, capital Monterrey, tucked up under Texas, has elected as Governor an independent, a strong-man Jaime Rodriguez 'El Bronco' who left his long-term position with the nationally governing PRI for this campaign.

Nuevo Leon has seen some of the worst violence of the internal ruckus from the opening offensive in Mexico in the war on drugs. An account from the progressive US weekly The Nation here.

However I note that the conservative party PAN, which elected the only non-PRI national presidents 2000-2012 has had a powerbase in Nuevo Leon, securing the governorship 1997-2013. And I have seen a report, which can't now find to reference here, that the former PAN governor of Nuevo Leon pitched his support behind El Bronco. So the manoeuvring is not simple, the dealings will now not be simple for anyone.

There is a gender issue too. On the one hand there is a pattern of domination of power in Nuevo Leon by networks of men. On the other hand there is recent national law requiring that a proportion of candidates be women. The unsuccessful PRI candidate for Governor of Nuevo Leon was a woman. El Bronco is admired for tough action against the drug barons and survival of two attempted gang assassinations in a town where he was mayor (gang is really not the word, read wikipedia on the Mexican drug war and see links in right column.) The PRI candidate Ivonne Alvarez survived violence as mayor of the front line border town of Nuevo Laredo but criticised by some for abandoning the local scene for national comfort in the Senate. But there is a glass ceiling... and much more. The powerful film Backyard (El Traspatiowhich has had several airings on Australia's SBS is set a little further to the west, but gives some flavour to the exploitation of women in the border world. It's not easy to watch, as it was not easy to make, but it's well made and gripping and the female lead formidable muy brava Blanca Bravo and other women and men provide excellent performances, while Jimmy Smits and the complex slick person he portrays is terrifying (film trailer link).

I note also that Backyard was the official Mexican nomination for Best Foreign Film at the 2009 Academy Awards.

I note that to underscore the complexity of this country, its refinements, its huge diversity. Many countries are misunderstood perhaps. There is so much the case for Mexico, with so much to be misunderstood, from the machismo in the north to the corners of Oaxaca in the south where women have big roles [link] [link] through all the strong modernism between.

I quoted in an earlier entry a label in an exhibition on the Museo Estanquillo in D.F., which read, my translation:
The identity of the Mexican people is a deep river that flows from the south.From there radiate the waters of our remote past, and the flowering of the high mountains of our lasting culture: multiethnicity, multilingualism, mixing of races and modernity.
There is a vast physical and mental distance between the north and the south. Even in the period of disorder after the coup by the right and the US against the post-Revolution Madero Goverment in 1913, the north and the south in revolt were led by different legends: Emiliano Zapata in the north and Pancho Villa in the north. As is the case when you live close to the fire, their histories in imaginations were shaped by Hollywood, even here, I expect. Sergio Leone's revival of the western with Clint Eastwood and Ennio Morricone (youtube link) was great entertainment but did nothing for international images of Mexico.

Basil Liddell Hart, greatest strategic mind in Britain in the twentieth century, listened to more by Guderian and other masterminds of the German Blitzkrieg in 1940 that would have captured the British army at Dunkirk if Hitler had not lost his nerve, wrote in a book on strategy, published posthumously by his widow about how it's not what you say, it's what you do that counts. How the viciousness of Napoleon's Peninsula War contributed to the extreme horrors of the Spanish Civil War 130 years later. And of how Lawrence of Arabia contributed to terorism in the Middle East as was emerging again in 1970 when Liddell Hart died. This is of course relevant to the madness of western strategic thinking in recent times.

For here the point is this. With a history of ferocity among indigenous civilisations at war and with vicious systems of government, with those indigenous governments overthrown by vicious Spanish Conquistadores who smashed everything in front of them and brought the Inquisition and hacienda class system behind them (as also to other places including The Philippines were I worked in the 1960s), in a country which can single itself out in world history by an independence date of 1810 and a revolution date of 1910, a country where the United States cut its teeth in foreign intervention, ripping so much off Mexico (independent Mexico, not Spanish colonial Mexico) such that Mexico is half as big as once was... Well I think Mexico is doing amazingly well, its people deserve a better hearing and a better life, the US needs to address its drug issues effectively internally and get the blowtorch where it belongs... and we need to get cool, be a bit amazed about how Mexico conducts elections at all.

For this country of 120 million, could we have some balanced media reporting: oh, I forget, the media is in the same trenches as B Liddell Hart described war, doing what it does, captivated by mind-trenches, compounded by commercial interests that only report the bad stuff, too often only pay honchos to go report bad stuff.

Oh by the way, there were no incidents at polling places in Mexico City.

I put this mention of no incidents in the capital city at the end to conform with all the other commentators.

Except I also put here again the photo of our local polling place that's up the top.

not a single "guao!" to report

A rooster just crowed! Here in the city! Time to go.


Sunday, 7 June 2015

Guanajuato 6: Mexico Elections—a polling place

The Australian Government's travel advice was to avoid polling stations in Mexico because of risk of violence. This would certainly be the case in some parts of the country.


Nevertheless, here in Guanajuato, Guanajuato we thought risk would be low. We expected we would need to find a school with a polling place. We walked down Calle San Roque from our house on Sunday 7 June... and there before our eyes in the Plaza San Roque was the local polling station, open from 10am to 1pm. We were just in time before they closed.


Down the wall, on the left



The job of the polling place staff is straightforward inasmuch as individuals have voter registration cards and are marked with indelible ink after voting.


perhaps also made easier by this:
a national ban on sale of alcoholic drinks 
between 5pm Saturday 6 June and 10am Monday 8 June



Saturday, 6 June 2015

Mexican elections, Sunday 7 June

There are 'mid-term' elections in Mexico tomorrow.

Basic reading:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_in_Mexico
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Administrative_divisions_of_Mexico
and here's a local newspaper report with information for voters on how to vote and more.
images of voter registration cards here.

The President and members of the Senate were elected in 2012 for six years. The members of the lower house (Chamber of Deputies), the governors of 9 of 31 states and head of government of the Distrito Federal (= D.F. = Mexico City) and state legislators face elections now, as do mayors in 15 states..

There are 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies, of which 300 are elected from individual electorates with first-past-the-post voting, the other 200 elected from five multi-state constituencies, each electing 40 by proportional representation.

We are in Guanajuato, capital of the state of Guanajuato, where we hope to take a peek at voting day.

Guanajuato, Guanajuato, 3pm Friday 5 June 2015
Lest you imagine it's all fire crackers...
There were a few people just out of view to the right
but yes, the candidate was hiding behind her prepared speech
and reading so so awkwardly.

We would not go near polling in D.F.. International media have been and will continue to focus on violence. The most blatant killing was this week of a candidate in his D.F. campaign office.

Our poll of five taxi drivers in D.F. earlier this week:

  • 2 will not vote 'because they are all the same': todos los mismos
  • 2 will vote
  • one too busy listing the things we had not seen in D.F. and telling us a week was too long in GTO

The major political parties are:

PRI: In government for seven decades, emerging from the post-1910-revolution turmoil, the PRI was described in 1990 by Maria Vargas Llosa as the perfect dictatorship. The PRI governed largely without opposition, the first real challenge arising from its own ranks when the 'left' opposed centrist policies the government was adopting in 1987. They formed what is now called the...

PRD: might have won the 1988 presidential elections but dirty stuff happened and the PRI kept the presidency. (The president is appointed for one term only, the outgoing president fixed this election.)

PAN, the National Action Party, won presidential elections in 2000 (Fox) and 2006 (Calderon) but lost to the PRI in 2012. A lurch to the right, close attachment to George W Bush and problems...

The long rule of the PRI meant inevitable corruption generally as it would anywhere including New South Wales, Australia but in a situation of deep poverty in regional areas, poor payment of public employees not least police, plus the massive growth of the narco traffic through Mexico to the insatiable market in the USA, meant that in large parts of the country the narcos controlled government, directly or by gun at the head of anyone who thought otherwise.

Pitching the Mexican federal government head first into a war with the narcos, Calderon in 2006 threw large areas of Mexico into disorder and violence. Near 100,000 deaths, but compare the Iraq war body count I embedded on this page in 2003.

It is said that under Peña Nieto, the PRI candidate elected in 2012, violence is diminishing. By exertion of force, replacement of local security authorities, etc. These are not simple issues.

NOTED ADDED JULY 2017: The arrest of El Chapo and his extradition to the US has left behind instability and ferocious conflict for power of all the bad business, causing a rise in violence and murder statistics. A commentary on Mexico and its democracy by a founder of the Sydney Democracy Network, a Sydney politics professor seems shallow,  he seems to have been ill-prepared. 

A major issue in these elections is education policy reform. Education policy reform is difficult anywhere and especially when led by fools as in Australia. It amazes me how we in Australia make a mess, in a country ranking second on the UNDP's Index of Human Development, of things we should be able to deal with sensibly and reaonably. I am reminded of times working in Beijing in the 1980s, daily being engaged by open-talking Chinese leaders in discussion of huge issues, then waking next morning to Radio Australia news in which shouting little people of importance seemed to be comparing the pimples on their bottoms. And yet we tend arrogantly to look down on other countries which try to address huge issues with fewer resources than we have.

The Mexican education policy issues are far more complex than anything we could be confronted by, though there is a bit of comparison available in the way we in Australia muck up education in indigenous communities. (In my view we will never succeed there while we harp on giving little Aboriginal children English literacy while the education system they enter shows little if any regard for the fact that a five year old girl in a remote indigenous community arrives at school speaking perhaps three languages not English and deeply spiritually, culturally and socially immersed in a cosmology utterly alien to crass western values.)

Federal education authorities in Mexico want efficiency which as usual means more central control, less flexibility to local circumstance and greater assessment of teachers, which latter has the unions in revolt.

There are deep troubles as to how education reforms impact in regions where multi-ethnic, multi-cultural, multi-language issue are dominant. Please see 'some reading resources...' which I put in the right hand column of this blog last year. Note that the issue of 'the 43' is at the juncture of all this. The students disappeared and murdered last year we from poor villages, in a poor teacher training institution, destined to teach in the kinds of resource-negligible villages from which they come and which are very vulnerable to any centrist measures of 'efficiency'.

For students and others the old stink of 1968 combined with things that happened in Peña Nieto's time as governor of the State of Mexico and those recently (though The Guardian like other international media engages in fly-in-fly-out-each-crisis reporting) pull down the PRI's prospects at these elections.

There is also the pressure of economic events, with one third of government revenue from oil sales and the sharp decline in oil prices, a three percent cut to the national budget in January and heavy expenditure on security. Lest one imagine trade in such things as oil is free under NAFTA, note this.

We shall see in the next few days... Peña Nieto surely hoping to do a Cameron.

Wednesday, 3 June 2015

Tuesday 2 June: to walk to the Franz Mayer

We set out to go to the post office and then on to the Franz Mayer Museum.

As usual lots to be seen on the way. First, as usual, to cross Av Madero, where the usual suspects are shooting the breeze before the afternoon crowds arrive.


Once beyond Madero, the serious guys wend their way back to the office after lunch.


a monument to Aztec heroes


At the place where a writer produced a magazine
 to campaign against the long dictatorship of Porfirio Diaz


We went back to see the excellent artisanry of this man and others in the lane behind the post office


It really really does help to have an ear for the Spanish around you.

I had waited in a queue for stamps from this charming lady below (the one you can hardly see beyond the bronze grille). The man ahead of me took forever fiddling until she eventually asked him if he could move to the side a little to organise his papers. I then went and asked for some nice estampillas por postales a Australia, diverses estampillas por cince pesos al postale (stamps for postcards to Australia, different stamps adding up to 15 pesos each postcard) and the lovely lady began swiftly laying out an amazing array of beautiful stamps in 14 peso lots, with a sheet of one peso stamps to top each up. We were in the middle of a joke about how I would not have room to write on the postales because the stamps would take up all the space... when suddenly the previous customer appeared at my shoulder, announced to the lady that he thought she had beautiful eyes — and fled.

Her eyes fell to the stamps, when they came up again we exchanged gentle smiles.

Somos en México


Moving west, in front of the Bellas Artes, security police were marching in to take up ranks, armed with shields and helmets



I asked the jefes below if they were expecting a manifestacion. They looked puzzled. I said there had been some demonstrations on Reforma the day before.

Oh no, they said in chorus, it's just a simulacro

Relax, Phone, Eat.. all in the normal day's work...
 I find if you speak politely (usted/ustedes, not the informal tu) to police they sometimes jump a little because nobody talks to them, but they become refreshingly good humoured...

The centro of the centro of the city is intensely guarded and mobile patrolling is heavy wherever else we have been. It is a huge city, there are vast numbers of poor and desperate. I do not photograph disabled people or others begging. They are many. The overall situation requires high security, else the centre be swallowed.
When we were with the jefe of the Balderes Metro police on Sunday someone dropped something heavy somewhere, with an ambiguous bang, and three officers went sprinting.


Across the street (Hidalgo) is this oasis outside the Museo Franz Mayer (also, to the right, not in photo, the museum of prints)


The guys on the left below were just beginning a game. Chess masters. The white shirt a Venezuelan lawyer working in D.F. In the black shirt, a Mexican surgeon.
I asked the Venezuelan about politics at home (difficult). 
I asked which side he found himself on in Venezuela's politics. 
There was a long pause.
I said: Vive in Mexico. [You live in Mexico]
He said: that is the correct answer to your question.


Later we saw more evidence that there will be elections on Sunday 8 June: cheery waving


and this perhaps also evidence of elections coming. security concerns... army units